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Fed Signals One Rate Cut This Year Despite Oil Price Surge

Fed still expects to cut rates once this year despite spiking oil prices

CNBC2026.03.18Updated 17d ago
Fed still expects to cut rates once this year despite spiking oil prices

The central bank's so-called dot plot showed a median estimate of 3.4% for the federal funds rate, the same as at the end of last year.

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The Federal Reserve maintains its forecast for a single rate cut in 2024, according to its latest dot plot projections showing a 3.4% median federal funds rate. Rising oil prices haven't deterred the central bank's monetary policy outlook, though inflation concerns remain a key consideration. Officials continue to monitor economic data before finalizing cut timelines.

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